Market hub · GBPUSD
GBP/USD
Live dashboard snapshot
Live price
1.33575
Bid 1.33369 / Ask 1.33389
Daily change
-0.13%
Updated 8:48 PM
Trend & confluence
Neutral
Confluence 0%
AI bias & volatility
SELL
Volatility: High
Historical statistics
52-week range
1.30096 to 1.38694
Live data & analysis
Key levels
Key levels as of 2026-09-16
| Level | Price |
|---|
| Resistance 3 | 1.35790 |
| Resistance 2 | 1.35368 |
| Resistance 1 | 1.34562 |
| Pivot | 1.34140 |
| Support 1 | 1.33334 |
| Support 2 | 1.32912 |
| Support 3 | 1.32106 |
| Trailing 20-session range | 1.33718 to 1.36754 |
Seasonality
Strongest month
August
+1.34%
Monthly seasonality
| Month | Years on file | Avg return | Win rate |
|---|
| May | 2 | +0.21% | 50% |
| June | 2 | +0.26% | 50% |
| July | 2 | -1.08% | 50% |
| August | 2 | +1.34% | 100% |
COT positioning
USD spec. net
+17,604
Net long
GBP spec. net
-58,836
Net short
CFTC speculative positioning
| Currency | Week | Speculative net | Position |
|---|
| GBP | 2026-09-08 | -58,836 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-09-01 | -49,575 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-08-25 | -44,524 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-08-18 | -54,573 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-08-11 | -56,221 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-08-04 | -57,814 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-07-28 | -64,814 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-07-21 | -55,561 | Net short |
| USD | 2026-09-08 | 17,604 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-09-01 | 17,025 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-25 | 18,682 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-18 | 19,079 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-11 | 21,409 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-04 | 22,499 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-07-28 | 17,197 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-07-21 | 15,614 | Net long |
Event reactions
Most reactive event
BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
GBP · 2 occurrences
How GBP/USD has reacted to major data releases
| Event | Currency | Occurrences | Avg 15m pip | Avg 30m pip | Bullish share |
|---|
| BOE Gov Bailey Speaks | GBP | 2 | -7.9 | -8.4 | 0% |
| Retail Sales MoM (+4 more) | USD | 2 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 50% |
| ISM Manufacturing PMI | USD | 3 | -0.6 | -2.5 | 67% |
Technical analysis
As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), GBP/USD's pivot sits at 1.34816, with resistance at 1.34993 and 1.35220, and support at 1.34589 and 1.34412.
Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 1.36754 or below 1.34636, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.
FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads sell on GBP/USD at 3% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as neutral. 1 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 1 bearish.
The component scores behind that read: RSI 3.0, MACD 0.0, EMA structure 0.0, support/resistance 14.0.
Fundamental analysis
Speculators are currently net short 58,836 GBP futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), down from -49,575 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net long 17,604 USD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from 17,025 the week of 2026-09-01.
Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.
On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, GBP currently ranks 4 of 8 tracked currencies (score -0.0), while USD ranks 8 of 8 (score -0.3). GBP is the relatively stronger of the two right now.
Economic calendar
GBP · Goods Trade BalanceLow
GBP · GDP YoYLow
GBP · Balance of TradeLow
GBP · Construction Output YoYLow
GBP · Manufacturing Production YoYLow
GBP · GDP MoMMedium
Full economic calendar →While you are here
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