Market hub · USDCHF
USD/CHF
Live dashboard snapshot
Live price
0.82429
Bid 0.77876 / Ask 0.77896
Daily change
+0.04%
Updated 9:23 PM
Trend & confluence
Bullish
Confluence 28%
AI bias & volatility
BUY
Volatility: High
Historical statistics
52-week range
0.76030 to 0.84760
Live data & analysis
Key levels
Key levels as of 2026-09-16
| Level | Price |
|---|
| Resistance 3 | 0.83807 |
| Resistance 2 | 0.83220 |
| Resistance 1 | 0.82883 |
| Pivot | 0.82296 |
| Support 1 | 0.81959 |
| Support 2 | 0.81372 |
| Support 3 | 0.81035 |
| Trailing 20-session range | 0.79492 to 0.82634 |
Seasonality
Strongest month
July
+1.19%
Monthly seasonality
| Month | Years on file | Avg return | Win rate |
|---|
| May | 2 | -0.70% | 50% |
| June | 2 | -0.00% | 50% |
| July | 2 | +1.19% | 50% |
| August | 2 | -0.55% | 50% |
COT positioning
CHF spec. net
-29,985
Net short
USD spec. net
+17,604
Net long
CFTC speculative positioning
| Currency | Week | Speculative net | Position |
|---|
| USD | 2026-09-08 | 17,604 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-09-01 | 17,025 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-25 | 18,682 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-18 | 19,079 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-11 | 21,409 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-04 | 22,499 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-07-28 | 17,197 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-07-21 | 15,614 | Net long |
| CHF | 2026-09-08 | -29,985 | Net short |
| CHF | 2026-09-01 | -22,876 | Net short |
| CHF | 2026-08-25 | -19,946 | Net short |
| CHF | 2026-08-18 | -27,278 | Net short |
| CHF | 2026-08-11 | -32,462 | Net short |
| CHF | 2026-08-04 | -32,822 | Net short |
| CHF | 2026-07-28 | -33,462 | Net short |
| CHF | 2026-07-21 | -34,242 | Net short |
Event reactions
Most reactive event
Retail Sales MoM (+4 more)
USD · 2 occurrences
How USD/CHF has reacted to major data releases
| Event | Currency | Occurrences | Avg 15m pip | Avg 30m pip | Bullish share |
|---|
| Retail Sales MoM (+4 more) | USD | 2 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 50% |
| ISM Manufacturing PMI | USD | 3 | -0.6 | -2.5 | 67% |
Technical analysis
As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), USD/CHF's pivot sits at 0.81798, with resistance at 0.82047 and 0.82237, and support at 0.81608 and 0.81359.
Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 0.81987 or below 0.79492, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.
FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads buy on USD/CHF at 33% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as bullish. 1 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 1 bearish.
The component scores behind that read: RSI 8.0, MACD 15.0, EMA structure 10.0, support/resistance 13.0.
Fundamental analysis
Speculators are currently net long 17,604 USD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from 17,025 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net short 29,985 CHF futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), down from -22,876 the week of 2026-09-01.
Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.
On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, USD currently ranks 8 of 8 tracked currencies (score -0.3), while CHF ranks 6 of 8 (score -0.1). CHF is the relatively stronger of the two right now.
Economic calendar
CHF · Consumer ConfidenceLow
USD · CPILow
USD · Inflation Rate YoYHigh
USD · Core Inflation Rate YoYHigh
USD · Inflation Rate MoMHigh
USD · Core Inflation Rate MoMHigh
Full economic calendar →While you are here
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