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Markets / NZD/USD
Market hub · NZDUSD

NZD/USD

Reviewed by Alex Jhonas·Updated Sep 17, 2026·How we test →
Live dashboard snapshot
Live price
0.57358
Bid 0.58884 / Ask 0.58904
Daily change
+0.11%
Updated 9:23 PM
Trend & confluence
Bearish
Confluence 5%
AI bias & volatility
SELL
Volatility: High
Live chart
Historical statistics
52-week range
0.55793 to 0.61199
Live data & analysis
Key levels
Pivot
0.57276
Resistance 1
0.57521
Support 1
0.56894
Key levels as of 2026-09-16
LevelPrice
Resistance 30.58148
Resistance 20.57903
Resistance 10.57521
Pivot0.57276
Support 10.56894
Support 20.56649
Support 30.56267
Trailing 20-session range0.57031 to 0.59876
Seasonality
Strongest month
May
+1.08%
Weakest month
June
-1.24%
Months on file
4
of 12
Monthly seasonality
MonthYears on fileAvg returnWin rate
May2+1.08%100%
June2-1.24%50%
July2+0.19%50%
August2+0.17%100%
COT positioning
NZD spec. net
+6,232
Net long
USD spec. net
+17,604
Net long
CFTC speculative positioning
CurrencyWeekSpeculative netPosition
NZD2026-09-086,232Net long
NZD2026-09-01-8,021Net short
NZD2026-08-25-14,239Net short
NZD2026-08-18-32,620Net short
NZD2026-08-11-39,586Net short
NZD2026-08-04-41,203Net short
NZD2026-07-28-47,668Net short
NZD2026-07-21-49,969Net short
USD2026-09-0817,604Net long
USD2026-09-0117,025Net long
USD2026-08-2518,682Net long
USD2026-08-1819,079Net long
USD2026-08-1121,409Net long
USD2026-08-0422,499Net long
USD2026-07-2817,197Net long
USD2026-07-2115,614Net long
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Event reactions
Most reactive event
Retail Sales MoM (+4 more)
USD · 2 occurrences
Avg 15m move
-1.0 pips
How NZD/USD has reacted to major data releases
EventCurrencyOccurrencesAvg 15m pipAvg 30m pipBullish share
Retail Sales MoM (+4 more)USD2-1.0-0.650%
ISM Manufacturing PMIUSD3-0.6-2.567%
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Technical analysis

As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), NZD/USD's pivot sits at 0.57627, with resistance at 0.57752 and 0.57930, and support at 0.57449 and 0.57324.

Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 0.59876 or below 0.57501, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.

FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads sell on NZD/USD at 5% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as neutral. 0 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 2 bearish.

The component scores behind that read: RSI 0.0, MACD 5.0, EMA structure 0.0, support/resistance 14.0.

Fundamental analysis

Speculators are currently net long 6,232 NZD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -8,021 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net long 17,604 USD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from 17,025 the week of 2026-09-01.

Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.

On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, NZD currently ranks 1 of 8 tracked currencies (score 0.3), while USD ranks 8 of 8 (score -0.3). NZD is the relatively stronger of the two right now.

Economic calendar
NZD · Business NZ PMILow
USD · CPILow
USD · Inflation Rate YoYHigh
USD · Core Inflation Rate YoYHigh
USD · Inflation Rate MoMHigh
USD · Core Inflation Rate MoMHigh
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