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Markets / NZD/JPY
Market hub · NZDJPY

NZD/JPY

Reviewed by Alex Jhonas·Updated Sep 17, 2026·How we test →
Live dashboard snapshot
Live price
89.404
Bid 89.404 / Ask 89.404
Daily change
+0.08%
Updated 10:01 PM
Trend & confluence
Neutral
Confluence 5%
AI bias & volatility
SELL
Volatility: High
Live chart
Historical statistics
52-week range
84.607 to 95.424
Live data & analysis
Key levels
Pivot
89.215
Resistance 1
89.453
Support 1
88.996
Key levels as of 2026-09-16
LevelPrice
Resistance 389.910
Resistance 289.672
Resistance 189.453
Pivot89.215
Support 188.996
Support 288.758
Support 388.539
Trailing 20-session range88.907 to 95.190
Seasonality
Strongest month
May
+1.24%
Weakest month
August
-0.24%
Months on file
4
of 12
Monthly seasonality
MonthYears on fileAvg returnWin rate
May2+1.24%50%
June2-0.20%50%
July2+0.74%100%
August2-0.24%50%
COT positioning
JPY spec. net
+10,796
Net long
NZD spec. net
+6,232
Net long
CFTC speculative positioning
CurrencyWeekSpeculative netPosition
NZD2026-09-086,232Net long
NZD2026-09-01-8,021Net short
NZD2026-08-25-14,239Net short
NZD2026-08-18-32,620Net short
NZD2026-08-11-39,586Net short
NZD2026-08-04-41,203Net short
NZD2026-07-28-47,668Net short
NZD2026-07-21-49,969Net short
JPY2026-09-0810,796Net long
JPY2026-09-01-92,227Net short
JPY2026-08-25-63,298Net short
JPY2026-08-18-52,893Net short
JPY2026-08-11-42,085Net short
JPY2026-08-04-45,473Net short
JPY2026-07-28-163,412Net short
JPY2026-07-21-152,125Net short
Full COT tracker →
Event reactions
Most reactive event
Consumer Confidence
JPY · 7 occurrences
Avg 15m move
-0.5 pips
How NZD/JPY has reacted to major data releases
EventCurrencyOccurrencesAvg 15m pipAvg 30m pipBullish share
Consumer ConfidenceJPY7-0.5+6.257%
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Technical analysis

As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), NZD/JPY's pivot sits at 89.201, with resistance at 89.496 and 89.723, and support at 88.974 and 88.679.

Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 95.190 or below 88.907, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.

FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads sell on NZD/JPY at 5% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as neutral. 1 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 2 bearish.

The component scores behind that read: RSI 0.0, MACD 5.0, EMA structure 0.0, support/resistance 13.0.

Fundamental analysis

Speculators are currently net long 6,232 NZD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -8,021 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net long 10,796 JPY futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -92,227 the week of 2026-09-01.

Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.

On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, NZD currently ranks 1 of 8 tracked currencies (score 0.3), while JPY ranks 3 of 8 (score 0.1). NZD is the relatively stronger of the two right now.

Economic calendar
NZD · Business NZ PMILow
JPY · Reuters Tankan IndexLow
JPY · PPI YoYLow
JPY · BSI Large Manufacturing QoQLow
JPY · PPI MoMLow
JPY · 3-Month Bill AuctionLow
Full economic calendar →
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