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Markets / GBP/CAD
Market hub · GBPCAD

GBP/CAD

Reviewed by Alex Jhonas·Updated Sep 17, 2026·How we test →
Live dashboard snapshot
Live price
1.86884
Bid 1.86884 / Ask 1.86884
Daily change
+0.03%
Updated 9:24 PM
Trend & confluence
Neutral
Confluence 7%
AI bias & volatility
SELL
Volatility: Low
Live chart
Historical statistics
52-week range
1.80202 to 1.90427
Live data & analysis
Key levels
Pivot
1.87344
Resistance 1
1.87605
Support 1
1.86825
Key levels as of 2026-09-16
LevelPrice
Resistance 31.88385
Resistance 21.88124
Resistance 11.87605
Pivot1.87344
Support 11.86825
Support 21.86564
Support 31.86045
Trailing 20-session range1.86063 to 1.89119
Seasonality
Strongest month
June
+1.21%
Weakest month
July
-0.83%
Months on file
4
of 12
Monthly seasonality
MonthYears on fileAvg returnWin rate
May2+0.43%100%
June2+1.21%100%
July2-0.83%50%
August2+0.39%50%
COT positioning
CAD spec. net
-70,499
Net short
GBP spec. net
-58,836
Net short
CFTC speculative positioning
CurrencyWeekSpeculative netPosition
GBP2026-09-08-58,836Net short
GBP2026-09-01-49,575Net short
GBP2026-08-25-44,524Net short
GBP2026-08-18-54,573Net short
GBP2026-08-11-56,221Net short
GBP2026-08-04-57,814Net short
GBP2026-07-28-64,814Net short
GBP2026-07-21-55,561Net short
CAD2026-09-08-70,499Net short
CAD2026-09-01-108,143Net short
CAD2026-08-25-121,522Net short
CAD2026-08-18-158,166Net short
CAD2026-08-11-173,362Net short
CAD2026-08-04-179,095Net short
CAD2026-07-28-176,310Net short
CAD2026-07-21-174,448Net short
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Event reactions
Most reactive event
BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
GBP · 2 occurrences
Avg 15m move
-7.9 pips
How GBP/CAD has reacted to major data releases
EventCurrencyOccurrencesAvg 15m pipAvg 30m pipBullish share
BOE Gov Bailey SpeaksGBP2-7.9-8.40%
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Technical analysis

As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), GBP/CAD's pivot sits at 1.87507, with resistance at 1.87825 and 1.88165, and support at 1.87167 and 1.86849.

Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 1.89119 or below 1.86063, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.

FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads neutral on GBP/CAD at 22% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as neutral. 2 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 1 bearish.

The component scores behind that read: RSI 3.0, MACD 15.0, EMA structure 4.0, support/resistance 14.0.

Fundamental analysis

Speculators are currently net short 58,836 GBP futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), down from -49,575 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net short 70,499 CAD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -108,143 the week of 2026-09-01.

Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.

On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, GBP currently ranks 4 of 8 tracked currencies (score -0.0), while CAD ranks 7 of 8 (score -0.2). GBP is the relatively stronger of the two right now.

Economic calendar
GBP · Goods Trade BalanceLow
GBP · GDP YoYLow
GBP · Balance of TradeLow
GBP · Construction Output YoYLow
GBP · Manufacturing Production YoYLow
GBP · GDP MoMMedium
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