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Markets / EUR/JPY
Market hub · EURJPY

EUR/JPY

Reviewed by Alex Jhonas·Updated Sep 17, 2026·How we test →
Live dashboard snapshot
Live price
179.057
Bid 179.057 / Ask 179.057
Daily change
+0.09%
Updated 9:23 PM
Trend & confluence
Bearish
Confluence 5%
AI bias & volatility
SELL
Volatility: High
Live chart
Historical statistics
52-week range
161.083 to 187.940
Live data & analysis
Key levels
Pivot
179.052
Resistance 1
179.413
Support 1
178.762
Key levels as of 2026-09-16
LevelPrice
Resistance 3180.064
Resistance 2179.703
Resistance 1179.413
Pivot179.052
Support 1178.762
Support 2178.401
Support 3178.111
Trailing 20-session range177.809 to 186.011
Seasonality
Strongest month
June
+2.00%
Weakest month
July
-0.39%
Months on file
4
of 12
Monthly seasonality
MonthYears on fileAvg returnWin rate
May2+0.47%50%
June2+2.00%50%
July2-0.39%50%
August2+1.07%50%
COT positioning
EUR spec. net
-42,616
Net short
JPY spec. net
+10,796
Net long
CFTC speculative positioning
CurrencyWeekSpeculative netPosition
EUR2026-09-08-42,616Net short
EUR2026-09-01-24,925Net short
EUR2026-08-25-36,352Net short
EUR2026-08-18-59,088Net short
EUR2026-08-11-60,010Net short
EUR2026-08-04-58,091Net short
EUR2026-07-28-72,447Net short
EUR2026-07-21-41,338Net short
JPY2026-09-0810,796Net long
JPY2026-09-01-92,227Net short
JPY2026-08-25-63,298Net short
JPY2026-08-18-52,893Net short
JPY2026-08-11-42,085Net short
JPY2026-08-04-45,473Net short
JPY2026-07-28-163,412Net short
JPY2026-07-21-152,125Net short
Full COT tracker →
Event reactions
Most reactive event
Consumer Confidence
JPY · 7 occurrences
Avg 15m move
-0.5 pips
How EUR/JPY has reacted to major data releases
EventCurrencyOccurrencesAvg 15m pipAvg 30m pipBullish share
Consumer ConfidenceJPY7-0.5+6.257%
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Technical analysis

As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), EUR/JPY's pivot sits at 178.702, with resistance at 179.413 and 179.825, and support at 178.290 and 177.579.

Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 186.011 or below 177.809, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.

FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads sell on EUR/JPY at 5% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as bearish. 3 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 0 bearish.

The component scores behind that read: RSI 0.0, MACD 5.0, EMA structure 0.0, support/resistance 14.0.

Fundamental analysis

Speculators are currently net short 42,616 EUR futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), down from -24,925 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net long 10,796 JPY futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -92,227 the week of 2026-09-01.

Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.

On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, EUR currently ranks 5 of 8 tracked currencies (score -0.0), while JPY ranks 3 of 8 (score 0.1). JPY is the relatively stronger of the two right now.

Economic calendar
JPY · Reuters Tankan IndexLow
JPY · PPI YoYLow
JPY · BSI Large Manufacturing QoQLow
JPY · PPI MoMLow
JPY · 3-Month Bill AuctionLow
EUR · ECB President Lagarde SpeechLow
Full economic calendar →
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