Market hub · EURGBP
EUR/GBP
Live dashboard snapshot
Live price
0.85949
Bid 0.85949 / Ask 0.85949
Daily change
+0.06%
Updated 9:24 PM
Trend & confluence
Neutral
Confluence 20%
AI bias & volatility
NEUTRAL
Volatility: Low
Historical statistics
52-week range
0.83557 to 0.88648
Live data & analysis
Key levels
Key levels as of 2026-09-16
| Level | Price |
|---|
| Resistance 3 | 0.86131 |
| Resistance 2 | 0.85971 |
| Resistance 1 | 0.85805 |
| Pivot | 0.85645 |
| Support 1 | 0.85479 |
| Support 2 | 0.85319 |
| Support 3 | 0.85153 |
| Trailing 20-session range | 0.85420 to 0.86076 |
Seasonality
Strongest month
June
+0.65%
Monthly seasonality
| Month | Years on file | Avg return | Win rate |
|---|
| May | 2 | +0.23% | 50% |
| June | 2 | +0.65% | 50% |
| July | 2 | -0.04% | 50% |
| August | 2 | +0.24% | 100% |
COT positioning
EUR spec. net
-42,616
Net short
GBP spec. net
-58,836
Net short
CFTC speculative positioning
| Currency | Week | Speculative net | Position |
|---|
| EUR | 2026-09-08 | -42,616 | Net short |
| EUR | 2026-09-01 | -24,925 | Net short |
| EUR | 2026-08-25 | -36,352 | Net short |
| EUR | 2026-08-18 | -59,088 | Net short |
| EUR | 2026-08-11 | -60,010 | Net short |
| EUR | 2026-08-04 | -58,091 | Net short |
| EUR | 2026-07-28 | -72,447 | Net short |
| EUR | 2026-07-21 | -41,338 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-09-08 | -58,836 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-09-01 | -49,575 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-08-25 | -44,524 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-08-18 | -54,573 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-08-11 | -56,221 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-08-04 | -57,814 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-07-28 | -64,814 | Net short |
| GBP | 2026-07-21 | -55,561 | Net short |
Event reactions
Most reactive event
BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
GBP · 2 occurrences
How EUR/GBP has reacted to major data releases
| Event | Currency | Occurrences | Avg 15m pip | Avg 30m pip | Bullish share |
|---|
| BOE Gov Bailey Speaks | GBP | 2 | -7.9 | -8.4 | 0% |
Technical analysis
As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), EUR/GBP's pivot sits at 0.85573, with resistance at 0.85724 and 0.85816, and support at 0.85481 and 0.85330.
Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 0.86076 or below 0.85420, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.
FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads neutral on EUR/GBP at 20% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as bearish. 0 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 2 bearish.
The component scores behind that read: RSI 15.0, MACD 5.0, EMA structure 0.0, support/resistance 13.0.
Fundamental analysis
Speculators are currently net short 42,616 EUR futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), down from -24,925 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net short 58,836 GBP futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), down from -49,575 the week of 2026-09-01.
Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.
On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, EUR currently ranks 5 of 8 tracked currencies (score -0.0), while GBP ranks 4 of 8 (score -0.0). GBP is the relatively stronger of the two right now.
Economic calendar
GBP · Goods Trade BalanceLow
GBP · GDP YoYLow
GBP · Balance of TradeLow
GBP · Construction Output YoYLow
GBP · Manufacturing Production YoYLow
GBP · GDP MoMMedium
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