As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), EUR/CAD's pivot sits at 1.60572, with resistance at 1.60851 and 1.61125, and support at 1.60298 and 1.60019.
Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 1.61856 or below 1.59999, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.
FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads sell on EUR/CAD at 8% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as bearish. 1 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 1 bearish.
The component scores behind that read: RSI 3.0, MACD 5.0, EMA structure 0.0, support/resistance 14.0.
Speculators are currently net short 42,616 EUR futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), down from -24,925 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net short 70,499 CAD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -108,143 the week of 2026-09-01.
Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.
On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, EUR currently ranks 5 of 8 tracked currencies (score -0.0), while CAD ranks 7 of 8 (score -0.2). EUR is the relatively stronger of the two right now.