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Markets / CHF/JPY
Market hub · CHFJPY

CHF/JPY

Reviewed by Alex Jhonas·Updated Sep 17, 2026·How we test →
Live dashboard snapshot
Live price
189.281
Bid 189.281 / Ask 189.281
Daily change
+0.15%
Updated 9:23 PM
Trend & confluence
Bearish
Confluence 5%
AI bias & volatility
SELL
Volatility: High
Live chart
Historical statistics
52-week range
173.098 to 204.409
Live data & analysis
Key levels
Pivot
189.287
Resistance 1
189.623
Support 1
188.786
Key levels as of 2026-09-16
LevelPrice
Resistance 3190.460
Resistance 2190.124
Resistance 1189.623
Pivot189.287
Support 1188.786
Support 2188.450
Support 3187.949
Trailing 20-session range187.637 to 199.068
Seasonality
Strongest month
June
+1.28%
Weakest month
July
-0.47%
Months on file
4
of 12
Monthly seasonality
MonthYears on fileAvg returnWin rate
May2+0.87%50%
June2+1.28%50%
July2-0.47%50%
August2+0.36%50%
COT positioning
CHF spec. net
-29,985
Net short
JPY spec. net
+10,796
Net long
CFTC speculative positioning
CurrencyWeekSpeculative netPosition
CHF2026-09-08-29,985Net short
CHF2026-09-01-22,876Net short
CHF2026-08-25-19,946Net short
CHF2026-08-18-27,278Net short
CHF2026-08-11-32,462Net short
CHF2026-08-04-32,822Net short
CHF2026-07-28-33,462Net short
CHF2026-07-21-34,242Net short
JPY2026-09-0810,796Net long
JPY2026-09-01-92,227Net short
JPY2026-08-25-63,298Net short
JPY2026-08-18-52,893Net short
JPY2026-08-11-42,085Net short
JPY2026-08-04-45,473Net short
JPY2026-07-28-163,412Net short
JPY2026-07-21-152,125Net short
Full COT tracker →
Event reactions
Most reactive event
Consumer Confidence
JPY · 7 occurrences
Avg 15m move
-0.5 pips
How CHF/JPY has reacted to major data releases
EventCurrencyOccurrencesAvg 15m pipAvg 30m pipBullish share
Consumer ConfidenceJPY7-0.5+6.257%
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Technical analysis

As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), CHF/JPY's pivot sits at 189.327, with resistance at 190.020 and 190.651, and support at 188.696 and 188.003.

Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 199.068 or below 187.637, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.

FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads sell on CHF/JPY at 5% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as bearish. 1 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 0 bearish.

The component scores behind that read: RSI 0.0, MACD 5.0, EMA structure 0.0, support/resistance 14.0.

Fundamental analysis

Speculators are currently net short 29,985 CHF futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), down from -22,876 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net long 10,796 JPY futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -92,227 the week of 2026-09-01.

Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.

On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, CHF currently ranks 6 of 8 tracked currencies (score -0.1), while JPY ranks 3 of 8 (score 0.1). JPY is the relatively stronger of the two right now.

Economic calendar
JPY · Reuters Tankan IndexLow
JPY · PPI YoYLow
JPY · BSI Large Manufacturing QoQLow
JPY · PPI MoMLow
JPY · 3-Month Bill AuctionLow
CHF · Consumer ConfidenceLow
Full economic calendar →
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