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Markets / CAD/JPY
Market hub · CADJPY

CAD/JPY

Reviewed by Alex Jhonas·Updated Sep 17, 2026·How we test →
Live dashboard snapshot
Live price
111.481
Bid 111.481 / Ask 111.481
Daily change
+0.11%
Updated 9:23 PM
Trend & confluence
Bearish
Confluence 5%
AI bias & volatility
SELL
Volatility: High
Live chart
Historical statistics
52-week range
103.003 to 117.508
Live data & analysis
Key levels
Pivot
111.527
Resistance 1
111.962
Support 1
111.248
Key levels as of 2026-09-16
LevelPrice
Resistance 3112.676
Resistance 2112.241
Resistance 1111.962
Pivot111.527
Support 1111.248
Support 2110.813
Support 3110.534
Trailing 20-session range110.506 to 115.575
Seasonality
Strongest month
August
+0.57%
Weakest month
May
-0.05%
Months on file
4
of 12
Monthly seasonality
MonthYears on fileAvg returnWin rate
May2-0.05%50%
June2+0.13%50%
July2+0.48%50%
August2+0.57%50%
COT positioning
JPY spec. net
+10,796
Net long
CAD spec. net
-70,499
Net short
CFTC speculative positioning
CurrencyWeekSpeculative netPosition
CAD2026-09-08-70,499Net short
CAD2026-09-01-108,143Net short
CAD2026-08-25-121,522Net short
CAD2026-08-18-158,166Net short
CAD2026-08-11-173,362Net short
CAD2026-08-04-179,095Net short
CAD2026-07-28-176,310Net short
CAD2026-07-21-174,448Net short
JPY2026-09-0810,796Net long
JPY2026-09-01-92,227Net short
JPY2026-08-25-63,298Net short
JPY2026-08-18-52,893Net short
JPY2026-08-11-42,085Net short
JPY2026-08-04-45,473Net short
JPY2026-07-28-163,412Net short
JPY2026-07-21-152,125Net short
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Event reactions
Most reactive event
Consumer Confidence
JPY · 7 occurrences
Avg 15m move
-0.5 pips
How CAD/JPY has reacted to major data releases
EventCurrencyOccurrencesAvg 15m pipAvg 30m pipBullish share
Consumer ConfidenceJPY7-0.5+6.257%
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Technical analysis

As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), CAD/JPY's pivot sits at 111.309, with resistance at 111.705 and 112.052, and support at 110.962 and 110.566.

Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 115.575 or below 110.506, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.

FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads sell on CAD/JPY at 5% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as bearish. 1 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 1 bearish.

The component scores behind that read: RSI 0.0, MACD 5.0, EMA structure 0.0, support/resistance 13.0.

Fundamental analysis

Speculators are currently net short 70,499 CAD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -108,143 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net long 10,796 JPY futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -92,227 the week of 2026-09-01.

Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.

On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, CAD currently ranks 7 of 8 tracked currencies (score -0.2), while JPY ranks 3 of 8 (score 0.1). JPY is the relatively stronger of the two right now.

Economic calendar
JPY · Reuters Tankan IndexLow
JPY · PPI YoYLow
JPY · BSI Large Manufacturing QoQLow
JPY · PPI MoMLow
JPY · 3-Month Bill AuctionLow
JPY · Capacity Utilization MoMLow
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