Market hub · AUDUSD
AUD/USD
Live dashboard snapshot
Live price
0.71122
Bid 0.70058 / Ask 0.70078
Daily change
+0.10%
Updated 9:23 PM
Trend & confluence
Bullish
Confluence 15%
AI bias & volatility
SELL
Volatility: Moderate
Historical statistics
52-week range
0.63568 to 0.72771
Live data & analysis
Key levels
Key levels as of 2026-09-16
| Level | Price |
|---|
| Resistance 3 | 0.71895 |
| Resistance 2 | 0.71640 |
| Resistance 1 | 0.71253 |
| Pivot | 0.70998 |
| Support 1 | 0.70611 |
| Support 2 | 0.70356 |
| Support 3 | 0.69969 |
| Trailing 20-session range | 0.70743 to 0.72374 |
Seasonality
Strongest month
August
+1.76%
Monthly seasonality
| Month | Years on file | Avg return | Win rate |
|---|
| May | 2 | -0.09% | 0% |
| June | 2 | -0.61% | 50% |
| July | 2 | -0.43% | 50% |
| August | 2 | +1.76% | 100% |
COT positioning
AUD spec. net
-34,870
Net short
USD spec. net
+17,604
Net long
CFTC speculative positioning
| Currency | Week | Speculative net | Position |
|---|
| AUD | 2026-09-08 | -34,870 | Net short |
| AUD | 2026-09-01 | -39,406 | Net short |
| AUD | 2026-08-25 | -44,455 | Net short |
| AUD | 2026-08-18 | -44,159 | Net short |
| AUD | 2026-08-11 | -39,223 | Net short |
| AUD | 2026-08-04 | -33,190 | Net short |
| AUD | 2026-07-28 | -39,964 | Net short |
| AUD | 2026-07-21 | -37,685 | Net short |
| USD | 2026-09-08 | 17,604 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-09-01 | 17,025 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-25 | 18,682 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-18 | 19,079 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-11 | 21,409 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-08-04 | 22,499 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-07-28 | 17,197 | Net long |
| USD | 2026-07-21 | 15,614 | Net long |
Event reactions
Most reactive event
Retail Sales MoM (+4 more)
USD · 2 occurrences
How AUD/USD has reacted to major data releases
| Event | Currency | Occurrences | Avg 15m pip | Avg 30m pip | Bullish share |
|---|
| Retail Sales MoM (+4 more) | USD | 2 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 50% |
| ISM Manufacturing PMI | USD | 3 | -0.6 | -2.5 | 67% |
Technical analysis
As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), AUD/USD's pivot sits at 0.71292, with resistance at 0.71420 and 0.71533, and support at 0.71179 and 0.71051.
Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 0.72374 or below 0.70663, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.
FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads sell on AUD/USD at 10% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as bullish. 0 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 2 bearish.
The component scores behind that read: RSI 3.0, MACD 0.0, EMA structure 7.0, support/resistance 13.0.
Fundamental analysis
Speculators are currently net short 34,870 AUD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -39,406 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net long 17,604 USD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from 17,025 the week of 2026-09-01.
Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.
On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, AUD currently ranks 2 of 8 tracked currencies (score 0.2), while USD ranks 8 of 8 (score -0.3). AUD is the relatively stronger of the two right now.
Economic calendar
USD · CPILow
USD · Inflation Rate YoYHigh
USD · Core Inflation Rate YoYHigh
USD · Inflation Rate MoMHigh
USD · Core Inflation Rate MoMHigh
USD · CPI s.aLow
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