As of the last completed session (2026-09-15), AUD/NZD's pivot sits at 1.23639, with resistance at 1.24035 and 1.24289, and support at 1.23385 and 1.22989.
Over the trailing 20 trading days (2026-08-19 to 2026-09-15), price has not closed a session above 1.23892 or below 1.19466, the range worth watching for a genuine breakout rather than an intraday spike.
FirstBuckFX's live confluence model currently reads buy on AUD/NZD at 28% confidence, with the underlying trend classified as bullish. 1 of the model's tracked conditions are currently bullish against 1 bearish.
The component scores behind that read: RSI 8.0, MACD 10.0, EMA structure 10.0, support/resistance 13.0.
Speculators are currently net short 34,870 AUD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -39,406 the week of 2026-09-01. Speculators are currently net long 6,232 NZD futures contracts per the latest CFTC data (week of 2026-09-08), up from -8,021 the week of 2026-09-01.
Positioning like this describes what large speculators are already doing; it is not a prediction. A heavily one-sided position can persist for a long stretch before it unwinds, or it can reverse quickly if the underlying fundamental story shifts.
On FirstBuckFX's currency strength meter, AUD currently ranks 2 of 8 tracked currencies (score 0.2), while NZD ranks 1 of 8 (score 0.3). NZD is the relatively stronger of the two right now.